When it comes to polling the feedback that is
related to Jeb Bush is really not all that positive. In beginning my search
what I first found on Bush was opposing the ideology that Jeb has a higher
chance of winning an election based on his last name. According to the
Washingtonpost.com, of all voters (Republican, Democrat, Independent) polled, 11
percent were more likely to vote for Jeb, 57 percent said his last name made no
difference, and 33 percent said it made them less likely to vote for Jeb. This shows
that while people in opposition of Jeb say that he is where he is because of
his name, or a largely talked about candidate, in the end it will not do
anything but hurt his chances. Although his name at this point will only have
negative implications on his chances of becoming president, this could easily
change when Jeb presents his campaign and fully presents his platform. In the
completion of this he will hopefully be able to show the voters that he differs
from his relatives in some regards but is similar in certain positive aspects. This
would mean that Bush could use his name as leverage at his discretion.
The graph above shows that Bush is a very well-known
name across the nation. However, the problem that Jeb suffers is that more
people are unfavorable of him than are favorable. This graph comes from
Gallup.com which lets us know that it is likely reliable. Although this graph
shows that Jeb has somewhat of an uphill battle it is approximately 8 months
old. Since the graph is 8 months old that means that the results are out of
date at this point. While out of date it still shows that there is likely an
uphill battle for Bush still and will likely remain this way for a little
while. Until the speculated candidates actually begin campaigning it will be
difficult for Jeb to move a good amount, up or down, since there will not be
much influence of his opinion on the voters.
Regardless of the fact that Jeb is rated as
unfavorable one potential advantage that he has is that his name is known
around the country. It would be difficult for Jeb to gain enough support to win
if he were similar to O’Malley who people are unfamiliar with and not favorable
to. However, Bush still has 31 percent of people who favor him. This will make
it easier to get donations for campaigning, as well as develop a larger support
group due to an already large base of support.
In addition to this, Jeb is well-known, but not the
most well-known candidate which can be shown in the picture above. This is
important to take note of. Since Jeb Bush is only a familiar name with 65
percent of people this means that he can still have a new and lasting
impression on 35 percent of voters; this could be the difference in a won or
lost election. It will be crucial for Jeb to be extremely effective and stand
out in positive ways to the other 35 percent. This in turn could also result in
Bush gaining approval from the 34 percent who disapprove of him.
References
I know the polls say that 57% of people don't care about his last name being Bush, Do you really think they are being honest on that front? I see his last name holding more power than people are currently saying.
ReplyDeleteI agree. I do think that his last name will play a factor in him winning or losing. I think that before people are actually aware of what candidates are running and what they all stand for on given issues that it may be difficult for some people to speculate what will actually influence their vote. Also, sometimes people are unaware of what is swaying their vote.
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